3 ms·
Let me try to spell this out in a bit more detail. I think you know everything I'm about to say, but I want to make sure I understand it: You'd be crazy to pay
by twoodfin 13y ago
Let me try to spell this out in a bit more detail. I think you know everything I'm about to say, but I want to make sure I understand it:
You'd be crazy to pay more than a few cents more than the market price for 1 share of AAPL, because that price represents the value the most marginal AAPL investor places on the stock: Offer him a penny more and he'll sell it to you. But there are investors standing behind him who think AAPL is worth more than the current price. As you need to buy out less marginal investors, the price to get them to hand over their AAPL shares will rise. Thus 1,000,000 shares will cost you more on average than one regardless of the value of control.
The same works in reverse with AirBNB: If they sell one share, it will go to the most enthusiastic investor who thinks they're a future $1T company. If they try to sell 1,000,000, they have to work their way down into those investors who believe AirBNB is a more marginal opportunity, and the average price will decline.
- voronoff 13y agoThis is right, but isamuel is also right in that there is the separate effect of the price of control, such that in reality it's harder to say what would happen in the AirBnB case because of the interaction effects. It would be interesting to probe into further, but the most directly applicable data is probably fairly hard to get ahold of, given that it's investment/acquisition offers not taken in lieu of the other.