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> So in the early days of a new market/category of product, the products are highly integrated Not sure about this one, seems like the opposite to me. Twenty y

by andosa 12y ago

> So in the early days of a new market/category of product, the products are highly integrated Not sure about this one, seems like the opposite to me. Twenty years ago, PC's were very modular, and it was very common to add/upgrade a sound card, memory, cpu, video card etc. Fast forward to now, and for the most common computing devices (think tablets and smartphones), there is almost zero modularity or upgradability. Even with current PC's (i.e. mostly laptops), it's increasingly limited. The same trend is apparent in other similar technology. For example with analog TV, people could add a PAL block if their TV was NTSC or SECAM. Upgrading your car used to be significantly easier etc.

Tyrannosaurs 12y ago
From Benedict Evans: "Hugh Trevor-Roper is supposed to have said that 'history teaches us nothing except that something will happen', and this applies pretty well to tech: this is so young and so fast-changing an industry that drawing parallels is more misleading than helpful." Feels about right to me.
pix64 12y ago
I'd argue tablets and phones are different products from desktop computers which continue to be modular.
divy 12y ago
You're forgetting the first wave of PC's - Apple II, TRS-80, TI-99, C64, etc. These machines had very little modularity compared to the wave of beige boxes that followed the IBM PC standard. I think Christensen even uses that as an example.
- uxp100 12y ago
  The S-100 buss based machines before those were very modular, if perhaps not PCs in the same sense.
chillingeffect 12y ago
Interesting observations on the flux between fixed and modular here. PCs today are still modular devices with varying degrees of specialization. Macs have less modularity. What they both have in common are peripherals. Until now, smart phones/tablets have had little in the way of peripherals. Some headsets, keyboards, memory cards, etc., but people seem to be clamoring for certain peripherals above all others. They seem less concerned about CPU types, just like the in Mac and PC world. Key peripherals seem to be camera and some kind of "geekport"/internet of things. I don't see a need to modularize every part of the phone a la PCs, but to expand the peripherals would help. It might be as simple as adding extra USB ports.

by andosa 12y ago

Tyrannosaurs 12y ago

From Benedict Evans: "Hugh Trevor-Roper is supposed to have said that 'history teaches us nothing except that something will happen', and this applies pretty well to tech: this is so young and so fast-changing an industry that drawing parallels is more misleading than helpful." Feels about right to me.

pix64 12y ago

I'd argue tablets and phones are different products from desktop computers which continue to be modular.

divy 12y ago

You're forgetting the first wave of PC's - Apple II, TRS-80, TI-99, C64, etc. These machines had very little modularity compared to the wave of beige boxes that followed the IBM PC standard. I think Christensen even uses that as an example.

uxp100 12y ago
The S-100 buss based machines before those were very modular, if perhaps not PCs in the same sense.

chillingeffect 12y ago

Interesting observations on the flux between fixed and modular here. PCs today are still modular devices with varying degrees of specialization. Macs have less modularity. What they both have in common are peripherals. Until now, smart phones/tablets have had little in the way of peripherals. Some headsets, keyboards, memory cards, etc., but people seem to be clamoring for certain peripherals above all others. They seem less concerned about CPU types, just like the in Mac and PC world. Key peripherals seem to be camera and some kind of "geekport"/internet of things. I don't see a need to modularize every part of the phone a la PCs, but to expand the peripherals would help. It might be as simple as adding extra USB ports.