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So let's assume that a geek user is just as likely to be a free user as a non-geek user[]. Then, the geeks leaving their service is a net loss to them, because
by Dewie 13y ago
So let's assume that a geek user is just as likely to be a free user as a non-geek user[]. Then, the geeks leaving their service is a net loss to them, because how would it not be that? If it really was the case that geeks leaving the service was a net win to them, then their whole user base - which you'll recall, we assume has the same proportion to free to non-free users as the geek subset - is a net loss to them, either right now or overall, violating the more fundamental assumption that dropbox has a self-serving business model. Thus we have arrived at a contradiction, forcing us to accept that geeks leaving the service is a net loss to dropbox.
We don't consider the case where geek users are more likely to have a non-free plan than non-geek users, since then that is obviously a net loss to dropbox if they leave, under the reasonable assumption that paying users of dropbox are more profitable to dropbox then their free user brethren.
The last possibility, that non-geek users are more likely to be paying users than geek users, is no more likely than the two scenarios above, according to your own knowledge. So why did you assert that geek users are a net loss to dropbox to begin with?
[] and also that these two sets of users is a partitioning of the whole set of users.
- jqm 13y agoI don't have to assume. In this case I can sample. Now, my sample size isn't very large, in fact it's just one person... me. I had a free account and I closed it. I doubt they care. But don't you think you are taking a comment made largely in jest just a bit too seriously?
- Dewie 13y ago> I don't have to assume. In this case I can sample. Now, my sample size isn't very large, in fact it's just one person... me. Ah, yes. Very cute. Doesn't make a lick of sense. But cute. > But don't you think you are taking a comment made largely in jest just a bit too seriously? It's funny how, when something does not hold up to scrutiny, it was all just a joke all along. Then the person that performed the scrutiny was just an uptight person that couldn't take a joke. Yes. Very convenient.
- jqm 13y agoDo you really think I claim to know how much space drop box freed up or that I propose in reality the reason they hired Rice is to free that space up? You seem to want to argue so let me indulge you.... I postulate geeks are more likely to use Dropbox's free service than non-geeks. Why? 1) They are better informed of alternative options and thus less likely to pay as they can spread their files out over multiple free services. 2) They have less trouble implanting multiple file storage options. Non-geeks are more likely to be intimidated by this and thus pay for the "name brand" and "what they know" option. 3) Geeks are known to be cheap. (ok... say "Cute" again). 4) I can keep going if you want. I think all this pretty clearly indicates my original point was valid. And this ridiculous thread indicates someone needs to spend less time on the computer and stop picking pepper out of flypoop. As for hiring Rice... ya, that seems like a bad idea on Dropbox's part.
- deleted 13y ago[deleted]
- jqm 13y agoA downvote Dewie? Really? That's your "scrutiny"?