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So the biggest difference to me is that the 1999 bubble was completely built on the backs of everyday investors. It was a rush to IPO and easy money, and eventu
by LandoCalrissian 13y ago
So the biggest difference to me is that the 1999 bubble was completely built on the backs of everyday investors. It was a rush to IPO and easy money, and eventually the market got wise and the whole thing fell apart.
The new paradigm is far more interesting, since it's almost all the investment comes from VC and Angel Investors. I think these entities can leverage risk far better, since they may lose a few million here and there, but when they hit a whale they really hit big.
I think there might be 'micro bubbles' within the industry that may implode under their own weight (F2P mobile games companies come to mind), but I think that's largely separating the wheat from the chaff.
I know some will disagree with me on this analysis, but I don't really subscribe to the sky is falling theory. The tech industry is now big business, that's not going to change.
- ajiang 13y agoRegardless of my opinion on whether or not we're in a bubble, the argument of "it's different this time because..." is used in the build up of every bubble we've ever experienced. Stock bubble? Economic stability and the wonderful controls the Fed has on monetary policy. No more economic cycles. First tech bubble? The internet is a wonderful thing we haven't had before - new opportunities, etc. Everything is different until it isn't.
- GFK_of_xmaspast 13y agoRight now there's so much money sloshing around here because (a) there's nowhere else for it to go and (b) everybody's doing it. What happens when there is somewhere else for it to go?