When I was a kid someone slashed the tires and cut the brakes of all the school buses. Even if it was to get out of school, that's a very fine line between "jus

When I was a kid someone slashed the tires and cut the brakes of all the school buses. Even if it was to get out of school, that's a very fine line between "just for a giggles" so while the probability may be small it's certainly nonzero. I would put the probability of your two identified events at closer to each other than you'd both expect and hope.