That's what jumped out at me as well. First the article extols how the Wisdom of Crowds is smarter than the experts. Then it goes on to say how some of the crow

That's what jumped out at me as well. First the article extols how the Wisdom of Crowds is smarter than the experts. Then it goes on to say how some of the crowd are superforecasters, (essentially experts), and the rest of the crowd makes no difference. It would be interesting to see how small the group of superforecasters would need to get before their accuracy falls below that of the CIA analysts.