It seems to me that all professional experts are subject to groupthink. However, could anonymous lay forecasters still make such excellent predictions without t

It seems to me that all professional experts are subject to groupthink. However, could anonymous lay forecasters still make such excellent predictions without those groups in place? Anyway, I think all this argues in favor of Robin Hanson's concept of "Futarchy": http://hanson.gmu.edu/futarchy.html http://hanson.gmu.edu/futarchy.html