They may be good at prediction, but who writes their questions? It's probably much easier to reach a successful prediction when a lot of the framing has alread

They may be good at prediction, but who writes their questions? It's probably much easier to reach a successful prediction when a lot of the framing has already been done for them. If you take the Ukraine question, for example, there's already a lot of intelligence encapsulated, such as the City and Date when the CIA is expecting a Russian invasion. As a post mentions below, the questions may even be phrased/biased towards the right answer. I wonder if they would be as good at prediction if they didn't have the resources and intelligence of the CIA providing them with the correct focus, prioritization, and framing.