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The rate of change of technology has been "adopted" by hardware designers, now with a considerate built in replacement time. That way we don't forget its time t
by messel 17y ago
The rate of change of technology has been "adopted" by hardware designers, now with a considerate built in replacement time. That way we don't forget its time to upgrade again. Moore's Law was really gathering momentum/social acceptance in the mid 70s.
- jacquesm 17y agoMoores law gathering social acceptance ? Moores law is a derivative law, not one that is to be followed by anybody. It's more of an observation than a 'law' as such. In its simplest form it says 'technology gets cheaper, smaller and faster over time', there is nothing you can do about it, it will happen. Social acceptance and momentum don't enter in to it, it either is like that, or it isn't. Hardware designers do the very best they can, if they could they would prove GM wrong whenever they could, but they can only work so hard and the market is only willing to pay a certain premium for a certain improvement in speed/size and so on. After the early adopters have paid the way the tech becomes mainstream, the price drops and the cycle repeats (it really is executed several times in parallel with staggered outputs, one 'thread' for every big chip manufacturer, that's where all the leapfrogging comes from). This is about as market driven a process as you could possibly find on planet earth.
- messel 17y agoI read a great post by Kevin Kelly on the history of Moore's law that contradicts this opinion. The standards hardware engineers worked towards were based on assumptions of a new transistor density, and the assumptions invariably became self predicting prophecies. Achievements of anything less than Moore's law improvement weren't acceptable! I'll dig up the link if you can't find it.