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We'll see. Turkey seems to be more stable. Do we have any reason to believe the Turkish government will certainly be overthrown, aside from the affront to our c

• VMG 13y ago
  Twitter, Youtube (and Facebook) are beyond the geeks now. One could argue that today the most passionate users are non-geeks.
• chalst 13y ago
  The Turkish military sees itself as the guardian of the Kemalist constitution and is unhappy with Erdogan. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980_Turkish_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980_Turkish_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat Rising conflicts between popular groups would, if they seriously undermined Erdogan's claim to be in command of the country, provide a pretext for a coup.
  • jmcannon 13y ago
    This understanding is outdated. AKP has gutted the old secular military establishment and instituted reforms that no longer make this a realistic scenario.
    • chalst 13y ago
      "Gutted" seems strong to me: the military has lost its influence over the judiciary, but they are a very strong, well-funded and influential arm of the state, and they seem to be gaining some measure of public respect that they lost. I could be wrong, but I think the ethos of being guardians of the constitution is still there. (And, for its own reasons, the AKP has been stressing the possibility of a coup as a reason for weakening the army). How realistic a scenario a coup is depends on just how messy the months ahead get, I think.
      • alabut 13y ago
        Nope, the military isn't as strong in Turkey as it used to be. Jailing a bunch of top generals will do that.