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Several posters have taken it as a given that software ought to live for a long, long time. That's a philosophy worth considering, but many people just want to
by ShabbyDoo 17y ago
Several posters have taken it as a given that software ought to live for a long, long time. That's a philosophy worth considering, but many people just want to make money.
If you lived in Atlanta during the '96 Olympics, you might have rented out your house for $10K for the month. That's a great "business" even though you know it will fail a month from now. However, you would not be rational to note that rents are now $10K/month and buy up a bunch of houses using that rent as a long-term factor in your business plan.
There's nothing necessarily wrong with building iFart, etc. But, it's absurd to pretend that revenues for fads like these will continue. I am reminded of an article I read about the business of opening up trendy nightclubs. The experienced owners think that it's impossible for a club to remain trendy for more than two or three years. So, they open them but build a business plan that doesn't anticipate long-term revenue with the expectation that they'll build their next one while the current one is still doing well.
Note that I believe Facebook/iPhone apps can be a great extension or component of a long-term business model, but that model can't be predicated on the continued popularity of those platforms alone.
- rythie 17y agoI agree. I think mostly people on HN are interested in making apps that provide real value to users and business for the long term. Some people just want to get 2 months pay for 1 month's work and make they an iFart app or whatever to achieve that. It's not a long term bet but it makes more than being employed - for some people that is all the care about. Also, the OP talks about companies being founded but I would guess in most cases Facebook and iPhone apps are people side projects made in their bedrooms or instead of doing consulting work. Those people are realistic and don't expect it to last, it's just a way to make money in the short term, they'd leave if there was more money to be made elsewhere and will probably leave anyway as the race to the bottom plays out.