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Up until the bridge scandal was proven to have legs (several months after it broke, mind you), Christie was winning the pre-primary money/fundraising race. He h
by HistoryInAction 13y ago
Up until the bridge scandal was proven to have legs (several months after it broke, mind you), Christie was winning the pre-primary money/fundraising race. He had solid inroads to both the Bush and Romney machines (aka traditional GOP) and had proven his chops at cutting decent social media-friendly video clips, even if not to our level of virality optimization.
I called him the front-runner at the time—I ran data for his '09 election re: potential biases—and even now, he's still got a fair chance at securing the nomination. If he can survive (or not compete in) IA and win NH (with no Romney or McCain figure, Christie's NE Republicanism and brash nature might appeal to the Granite State), he'll have the money to power through FL and make a play for locking things up on Super Tuesday.
- jsight 13y agoTo me, he just looks like the next Giuliani. He has no chance in IA and may do ok in a few states in the NE. He will not win SC, and I don't think he has a chance at FL either. I don't think that presents a viable path to the nomination.
- protomyth 13y ago"Up until the bridge scandal was proven to have legs" Christie has no shot of winning Iowa, maybe he can squeak by in New Hampshire, and he will get trounced after that for a bit. He is not liked by the rank and file Republicans. MartinCron said it best https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7401536 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7401536 "Yeah, he was always a leading favorite Republican candidate among non-Republicans."