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Elsewhere in this discussion someone posted this link [1] which claims that Odds are that Buffett’s bracket isn’t worth your time, however. Having a 1-in
by PhantomGremlin 13y ago
Elsewhere in this discussion someone posted this link [1] which claims that
Odds are that Buffett’s bracket isn’t worth your time,
however. Having a 1-in-7.4 billion chance of winning a
billion dollars is worth the equivalent of 14 cents.
That’s before accounting for taxes
I understand why you entered. It's for the same reason people play the lottery. People value a large payoff much more highly than a small one, even if the odds are worse for the big payoff.
I.e. for many people it's not worth betting $2 for a 1:2 chance of winning $4. That won't be a life changing event. But people are willing to bet $2 for a 1:175,223,510 chance of winning perhaps $100,000,000, even though those odds are much worse. That's how Powerball makes money. BTW I do bet on Powerball once in a while.
In my case I figured it wasn't worth betting $0.14 (because I knew it would take more than that of my time) to win $1,000,000,000.
[1] http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/we-have-a-1-in-6001225228-chance-of-winning-buffetts-billion/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/we-have-a-1-in-6001225228...
- dingaling 13y ago> In my case I figured it wasn't worth betting $0.14 (because I knew it would take more than that of my time) to win $1,000,000,000. People in work say this and it amuses me - as they then go on to say how they enjoyed an evening-in watching two films back-to-back. In other words: your time should only be equated to money if you don't enjoy the task.