That would be the case if each of the games were played between truly equal teams. In fact, many of the games are much easier to predict than 50/50 since one te

That would be the case if each of the games were played between truly equal teams. In fact, many of the games are much easier to predict than 50/50 since one team is better than another. So the expected value is actually higher, (though presumably still quite small, of course!)