the referendum seems strongly probable to fail To quantify: Betfair's current probability is ~17.5% of a "Yes" vote, although that's not based on enormous vol

the referendum seems strongly probable to fail To quantify: Betfair's current probability is ~17.5% of a "Yes" vote, although that's not based on enormous volumes: http://uk.sportsiteexweb.betfair.com/betting/LoadRunnerInfoChartAction.do?marketId=110033387&selectionId=5334892&logarithmic=true http://uk.sportsiteexweb.betfair.com/betting/LoadRunnerInfoC...