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The Club of Rome [1] did the same thing in 1972 with its famous study »The Limits to Growth« [2] and came to similar conclusions. An updated version »Beyond the
by danbruc 13y ago
The Club of Rome [1] did the same thing in 1972 with its famous study »The Limits to Growth« [2] and came to similar conclusions. An updated version »Beyond the Limit« [3] has been published after 20 years in 1993. The model they developed is called World3 [4].
After 30 years they validated their model and published »Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update« in 2004. The actual development of our world over this 30 years period is frighteningly close to one of their scenarios without happy end.
It is unfortunately a real possibility that we are already doomed, i.e. have crossed the point of no return even assuming perfect future developments, and are just not aware of our approaching downfall.
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome
[2] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth
[3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beyond_the_Limits http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beyond_the_Limits
[4] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World3 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World3