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> TLDR: About 20% (with a wide margin of error) of rape accusations are false. That's not an accurate summary of the linked article's conclusions. It makes no
by jarrett 13y ago
> TLDR: About 20% (with a wide margin of error) of rape accusations are false.
That's not an accurate summary of the linked article's conclusions. It makes no conclusion about the percentage of accusations that are false. Rather, it takes as a seemingly arbitrary premise that 8% of accusations are false. From the article:
> Lisak lists seven studies he considers credible, which find false accusation rates of 2.1%, 2.5%, 3.0%, 5.9%, 6.8%, 8.3%, 10.3%, 10.9%....We will stick with the article’s figure of 84,000 reported rapes per year and 8% false accusation rate, for a total of 6,750 falsely accused.
The article's conclusion is actually about the chance that any particular man will be falsely accused in his lifetime. I can't say whether that particular conclusion is accurate. I can only observe that it is meaningless unless one accepts the 8% assumption. Which is rather suspect, considering it appears to have been cherry-picked from amongst the seven studies the author referenced.
- MichaelDickens 13y agoAh, thanks for the correction. I haven't read the article in a while and I just glanced back through it. > Which is rather suspect, considering it appears to have been cherry-picked from amongst the seven studies the author referenced. It's near the middle of the range, though (a bit on the high end), so it seems like a reasonable assumption.