Something is already happened. "Nothing will happen" -mantra does not add any value to analysis. Russia has reacted very unpredictable so far and outcomes might

Something is already happened. "Nothing will happen" -mantra does not add any value to analysis. Russia has reacted very unpredictable so far and outcomes might be far from what you describe. Ukraine is also more than mere economical issue to EU. In these kind of situations politics comes before business, not the other way around.