> The only conventional wisdom is to be contrarian, and even that doesn't work half the time. True, but if (a) the choices are binary ones, and if (b) they onl

> The only conventional wisdom is to be contrarian, and even that doesn't work half the time. True, but if (a) the choices are binary ones, and if (b) they only work half the time, then (c) it's not wisdom, conventional or otherwise. But now it occurs to me that your post was meant in fun.