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There's an obvious intuition that the author seems to be missing with the 'two aces' paradox. If you have a hand with two aces, you have two chances of getting
by rottencupcakes 17y ago
There's an obvious intuition that the author seems to be missing with the 'two aces' paradox.
If you have a hand with two aces, you have two chances of getting the "Ace of Spades." Having a hand with two aces doesn't make it any more likely to have "an ace" than having a hand with one ace does.
This pretty much explains the phenomenon.
- TheSOB88 17y agoThank you so much! I really need to add "reversing the problem" to my repository of problem-solving techniques, but I just can't seem to find it.
- Retric 17y agoDoes that logic somehow change when someone says: "I have an Ace." (You calculate the probability.) "Then they say I have an Ace of harts." (You calculate the probability.) PS: I suspect the actual answer relates to how you talk about your hand in bridge.