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Show HN: SciCast, Science and Tech Combinatorial Prediction Market by GMU

14 points by adam 13y ago

ideonexus 13y ago
This sounds like something I would be really interested in, but we should be allowed to browse the forecasts without having to register. I'm not giving you my email address without first being able to evaluate your product. You just lost a sale.
- adam 13y ago
  Thanks - I agree (although this is a non-profit effort by a University so technically we're not selling anything.) We'll put a big call to action on the homepage to review the forecasting questions. In the meantime, here's a direct link so you can see what's out there. Hope you'll reconsider coming back: https://scicast.org/#/questions/ https://scicast.org/#/questions/
jnazario 13y ago
really neat stuff. i learned about this last fall and got the link last month from someone involved. looking forward to what pops out. cool stuff, guys.
dnautics 13y ago
how do you deal with irresponsible press releases, like for example national ignition facility defining down "breakeven"?
- adam 13y ago
  If you're talking about how we resolve questions when the answer is (supposedly) known - we try to be pretty careful about what sources we tap and have a growing list of subject matter experts we reach out to to understand what may really be going on. We also have partnerships with IEEE, AAAS, and a few other professional societies who are helping both author forecasting questions and resolve questions. This is all a public/open effort so if anyone wanted to get involved themselves by posting forecast questions in addition to making predictions, they can do so.
dfc 13y ago
Your site is completely broken for people who do not want to tell google-analytics about every website they visit. I am a long time noscript/adblock/requestpolicy user so I am accustomed to some feature degradation. But I have never seen a page be completely blank[1] because I value my privacy. [1] I did get a blue background at first. I tried with and without the HN referral code you inserted in the submission, as well as turning on/off addthis/groovehq. I enabled javascript for all domains as well as allowed every external request except GA and still no page load. The only way to get your page to load is to allow google analytics. At that point I was able to view and use your site like normal.
- adam 13y ago
  Sorry for that experience, I'll be sure to pass that along and get it rectified. I'm sure you're not the only one who would have an issue with this.

14 points by adam 13y ago

This sounds like something I would be really interested in, but we should be allowed to browse the forecasts without having to register. I'm not giving you my email address without first being able to evaluate your product. You just lost a sale.

adam 13y ago
Thanks - I agree (although this is a non-profit effort by a University so technically we're not selling anything.) We'll put a big call to action on the homepage to review the forecasting questions. In the meantime, here's a direct link so you can see what's out there. Hope you'll reconsider coming back: https://scicast.org/#/questions/ https://scicast.org/#/questions/

jnazario 13y ago

really neat stuff. i learned about this last fall and got the link last month from someone involved. looking forward to what pops out. cool stuff, guys.

dnautics 13y ago

how do you deal with irresponsible press releases, like for example national ignition facility defining down "breakeven"?

adam 13y ago
If you're talking about how we resolve questions when the answer is (supposedly) known - we try to be pretty careful about what sources we tap and have a growing list of subject matter experts we reach out to to understand what may really be going on. We also have partnerships with IEEE, AAAS, and a few other professional societies who are helping both author forecasting questions and resolve questions. This is all a public/open effort so if anyone wanted to get involved themselves by posting forecast questions in addition to making predictions, they can do so.

dfc 13y ago

Your site is completely broken for people who do not want to tell google-analytics about every website they visit. I am a long time noscript/adblock/requestpolicy user so I am accustomed to some feature degradation. But I have never seen a page be completely blank[1] because I value my privacy. [1] I did get a blue background at first. I tried with and without the HN referral code you inserted in the submission, as well as turning on/off addthis/groovehq. I enabled javascript for all domains as well as allowed every external request except GA and still no page load. The only way to get your page to load is to allow google analytics. At that point I was able to view and use your site like normal.

adam 13y ago
Sorry for that experience, I'll be sure to pass that along and get it rectified. I'm sure you're not the only one who would have an issue with this.