I disagree with some of the premises. We are great at probability, we compute it unconsciously. Every person knows the approximate probability of flipping a c

I disagree with some of the premises. We are great at probability, we compute it unconsciously. Every person knows the approximate probability of flipping a coin to show heads, pulling a card from a stack, or being rejected/successful when asking a date out (we always say our 'chances' are good/bad, depending on factors we think are important). In our day to day lives, many decisions are driven by what we think the 'odds' are of our endeavor being successful.