My best guess is that SV has jumped the shark. "Dying" is probably an adjective too far. Microsoft is "dying". Still might have another 40 years of profitabilit

My best guess is that SV has jumped the shark. "Dying" is probably an adjective too far. Microsoft is "dying". Still might have another 40 years of profitability left in it, though, and if that's dying, dying looks pretty good. SV is not going to be replaced anytime soon. Rather, what's happening is that there are a thousand small places that each will amount to about 1% of SV. In the aggregate, that means that SV will have a smaller piece of the pie. Due to location and network effects, though, I don't think any of that's going to be clear for some time. California is busy re-engineering its society. Good for them. But hell if I'll work there, and hell if I'd try to launch a startup there. I love the folks in SV and am terribly jealous of all the cool stuff going on. Having said that, it's simply not worth the effort to fool around with all the obstacles in place. And more are on the way. Sure, it's still great and awesome for those that win the SV beauty contest, but not so much for us little fry. That's what "jumping the shark" looks like.