4 ms·
A lot of people who knew the iPhone and iPad were going to be huge also think Glass is doomed for the consumer market. Sometimes the way you look matters. See:
by gfodor 13y ago
A lot of people who knew the iPhone and iPad were going to be huge also think Glass is doomed for the consumer market.
Sometimes the way you look matters. See: the Segway. It's a threshold. Did headphones really make you look as dorky as the Segway does to your contemporaries? Doubtful. Does Glass? I think it comes close.
- stormbrew 13y agoAnd I'm sure a lot of people who thought the iphone and the ipad were incredibly stupid also think glass is incredibly stupid. And of course there are people who thought the iphone and ipad would be massive successes who think the same of glass. Your ability to predict what amount to fashion trends in the future is not particularly related to your ability to do so in the past.
- coldtea 13y ago>Your ability to predict what amount to fashion trends in the future is not particularly related to your ability to do so in the past. I don't know, your ability to predict trends in the past sounds like the best predictor of your future ability. Except if you think that there's no such an abilily, and it's all random guesses and luck.
- stormbrew 13y agoIt is the best predictor, obviously, but I'm saying that doesn't really mean much. Fashion is fickle. And the thing is, above and beyond that, 10 years from now the tech that's evolved from Glass will look about as much like Glass as the iphone looks like my first touchscreen phone (behold: http://img.engadget.com/common/images/3060000000053553.JPG?0.005674472240123407 http://img.engadget.com/common/images/3060000000053553.JPG?0...)
- Raphael 13y agoBingo. The first consumer computer glasses may not be a mass hit. But persistence, innovation, tweaking, and competition will sooner or later hit on a design that sells.
- coldtea 13y agoOr you know, it's a bad idea, and we'll find something else to replace it, like bionic eyes or 3D sensors.
- wisty 13y agoThe Segway was more like a laptop than a phone. It's big. It's bulky. It's expensive. Taking a PC to a pub, so you could tweet is dorky. Taking a phone or glass to a pub to tweet is dorky, but you can pretend it's just a spur of the moment thing.
- Avshalom 13y agoSegways did not fail because they made you look dorky. They failed because they were an extremely expensive toy that didn't solve anyone's problems and were bulky enough that they made new problems when people tried to use them.
- trumbitta2 13y agoAlso, the stick. To me, Segway with stick = http://s3.amazonaws.com/rapgenius/Y810072B.jpg http://s3.amazonaws.com/rapgenius/Y810072B.jpg Segway without stick = http://i1.ytimg.com/vi/TkyLnWm1iCs/maxresdefault.jpg http://i1.ytimg.com/vi/TkyLnWm1iCs/maxresdefault.jpg
- baldfat 13y agoSegways solved problems: Does your job require walking around on a flat service all day? Segway for Mall Cops. Do you want people who have a hard time walking for a few miles so they can do a tourist tour? Segway for tourist. That's about it from me.
- iancarroll 13y agoThose markets are not large enough to sustain a product like the Segway.
- bronsoja 13y agoIf Segways are still being sold [0], doesn't that mean the market is big enough to sustain the product? 0: https://store.segway.com https://store.segway.com
- snowwrestler 13y agoI would say exactly the same things about Google Glass.
- Avshalom 13y agoYeah, if heads-up computing fails in this iteration (and I suspect it will in this iteration) its not going to be aesthetics it will be because no one can build a compelling use case for the price. Privacy/Social-Contract concerns will probably worsen that, but I really doubt they will be sufficient on their own.