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The "highly likely" bracket is still only going to have astronomically small odds.
by judk 13y ago
The "highly likely" bracket is still only going to have astronomically small odds.
- Zimahl 13y agoYeah, "highly likely" is all fun and games until a college like George Mason comes in a destroys every single bracket.
- jonknee 13y agoYea, I don't think there are too many "highly likely" brackets anyway--the first couple rounds are brutal. There are definitely "highly likely" Final Four's, but just one very minor upset on day 1 will ruin a perfect brack.
- bradleyjg 13y agoIf you figure that the selection committee knows something about basketball and at least to a first approximation tries to slot teams correctly, it's relevant that the five seed has only beat the 12 seed 2/3s of the time and it gets worse from there. So you are already down to less than 20% odds of guessing the five seeds in the first round.