3 ms·
Space isn't really big at all when you think in geological rather than individual scales. It probably only takes a couple of thousand years post-Apollo to colon
by wlievens 17y ago
Space isn't really big at all when you think in geological rather than individual scales. It probably only takes a couple of thousand years post-Apollo to colonize dozens of stars.
The real reason we don't see aliens is probably contemporaneity.
Although in that context I have another remark. The Drake formula, often brought up in these discussions has a major omission: it doesn't account for multiple intelligent species over the total lifespan of a planet. I don't see why, a couple of million years after humanity's extinction, another intelligent species could arise and go through the whole space-flight thing again.
A planet like Earth could have a typical cycle:
0.0 GA: formation
3.0 GA: bacteria
5.0 GA: intelligent species 1
5.1 GA: intelligent species 2
5.2 GA: intelligent species 2
5.3 GA: intelligent species 3
...
8.0 GA: oceans boil away, parent star going manic
9.0 GA: destruction due to parent star going kabloom