2 ms·
While it is actually A Thing, it's far less scary than the article makes it out to be. How about some actual numbers? Last year in Arizona, Valley Fever was at
by cheald 13y ago
While it is actually A Thing, it's far less scary than the article makes it out to be. How about some actual numbers?
Last year in Arizona, Valley Fever was attributed a mortality rate (primary + secondary causes of death) of ~0.6/100,000 [1]. In the vast majority of cases, the victim makes a full recovery rapidly with no lingering effects. Most fatalities from it are due to the development of chronic pneumonia - by comparison, pneumonia in general has a mortality rate of ~15/100,000 [2].
While it's true that there was a tenfold increase in reported cases between '98 and '11, the disease was only required to be reported starting in '97, and in '09, the lab reporting methods were changed, resulting in more cases being reported. [1]
> Laboratory reporting of valley fever was mandated in 1997. Since then, reports of valley fever have increased dramatically. In 2009, a major commercial laboratory (Lab A) altered its reporting practices for valley fever, greatly increasing the total number of reported cases. In 2012, a change in testing methods at Lab A took place leading to a decline in the number of cases reported in late 2012.
It's also worth noting that reports outside of this unnamed major laboratory are basically flat (Table 2, Figure 3)
All in all, while it's something to be aware of, it's hardly the terrifying epidemic that the New Yorker would make it out to be.
[1] http://www.azdhs.gov/phs/oids/epi/disease/valley-fever/documents/reports/valley-fever-2012.pdf http://www.azdhs.gov/phs/oids/epi/disease/valley-fever/docum...
[2] http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr61/nvsr61_04.pdf http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr61/nvsr61_04.pdf