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I'm not the OP you are responding to, but: 1) I do think software engineers are in danger of suffering the same fate, just later than some. We won't even be th
by georgemcbay 13y ago
I'm not the OP you are responding to, but:
1) I do think software engineers are in danger of suffering the same fate, just later than some. We won't even be the last profession to go, that'll be comedians probably.
2) People often underestimate the impact of automation by looking at automation as a binary state where the problem comes when you automate away everyone, but that's not a great way to look at it. Partial automation on a quick enough timeline is more than enough to destabilize the economy of a particular industry.
We are a long way from computers replacing all lawyers or doctors or software engineers, but if they can replace just 25% of them by allowing the remaining 75% to be as productive as the entire 100% was previously, that's already a large economic impact. If automation can replace 75% of them, that's a massive world-altering shift, economically.
We really should be worrying about the economic impact of all this automation now, because at least in the USA (where I live) we are a very long way away from (sociopolitically) being able to deal with this quickly approaching new reality of having way more people than are needed for doing what would traditionally be considered "productive" work.