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"One 2013 study by the Eno Center for Transportation suggested that if 10% of cars on US roads were autonomous this could reduce fatalities by about 1,000." Th
by dkokelley 13y ago
"One 2013 study by the Eno Center for Transportation suggested that if 10% of cars on US roads were autonomous this could reduce fatalities by about 1,000."
This doesn't quite seem right. How does a 10% shift towards autonomous vehicles only equate to a 2% decrease in fatalities? Why wouldn't this scale linearly?
- jules 13y agoWho says it doesn't scale linearly? That certainly can't be concluded from the sentence you cited. Are you assuming that self driving cars result in 0 fatalities?
- dkokelley 13y agoRoughly, yes. I'm assuming that at 100% autonomous cars there will be ~0 fatalities. From the article, at ~0 autonomous cars, there are 50,000 fatalities annually. I guess I'm just curious as to the curve that dictates the relationship between autonomous car adoption rate and annual vehicular fatalities. I found the study referenced, but I haven't quite found their methods. http://www.enotrans.org/wp-content/uploads/wpsc/downloadables/AV-paper.pdf http://www.enotrans.org/wp-content/uploads/wpsc/downloadable...
- deleted 13y ago[deleted]