Somehow I think we overcomplicate stock market analysis. I live by the rule what goes up must come down. Eventually the market is going to crash. I absolutely g

Somehow I think we overcomplicate stock market analysis. I live by the rule what goes up must come down. Eventually the market is going to crash. I absolutely guarantee that fact. I think it is a fairly well proven fact that economies cycle. It is just a matter of time before it crashes again. Are we in a bubble? The honest answer is that it doesn't matter. All you need to know is that in 2008 the stock market crashed. More than likely within the next few years, before 2015 is out (~7 years later), all the investors who will the increasingly expect a crash, will get one. Oddly enough, I think that human greed, expectation and fears of loss drive the cycle. All it needs is a trigger to start the mass sell off. Then Facebook shares won't be worth diddly squat. That's when you buy again. A tiny minority of investors can read the signs of impending doom. Lucky investors, including some Wall Street traders get lucky and sell before the crash. The vast majority of investors miss the boat and lose out big time. The trick is knowing when to buy and when to sell. I think the whole thing is smoke and mirrors. 99% of it is probably luck. http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2012/05/25/buy-when-theres-blood-in-the-streets-how-contrarians-get-it-right/ http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2012/05/25/buy-when-th...