You are getting downvotes because you didn't follow Bayesian reasoning, but there is some justification for your instincts here http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~ge

You are getting downvotes because you didn't follow Bayesian reasoning, but there is some justification for your instincts here http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/unpublished/philosophy.pdf http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/unpublished/ph...