For the interested, some links to Bayes' theorem: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem http://yudkowsky.net/

For the interested, some links to Bayes' theorem: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes Useful if you want to know (or need a good way to explain) what a posterior probability is and how it's different from a prior probability