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pg says founders start programming when they're thirteen, and concludes that we have a ten year lag time. The author says founders can be much older than 23, s
by lkbm 13y ago
pg says founders start programming when they're thirteen, and concludes that we have a ten year lag time.
The author says founders can be much older than 23, so given that we have a ten year lag time, we can start with people will over 13.
pg:
x=13
y=23
Therefore z=y-x=10.
Author:
No, y=40
Therefore x=y-10=30.
There's a pretty clear flaw in the author's reasoning here. Why say x=10 when you've just rejected the value from which that ten was calculated?
- zaphar 13y agoThe author agrees with x=10 based on the 10,000 hours hypothesis as she states in her article. She didn't base her agreement on pg's "hackers start at 13" statement. She agreed with it due to the shear number of hours it takes to get competent in a highly technical skill.
- lkbm 13y agoThe 10 000 hours thing is often paired with "3 hours a day for 10 years", but by my recollection there the only number with a basis is 10 000, not the 3 hours or the 10 years. I'm pretty sure she chose 10 years because she was responding to someone who chose 10 years.