3 ms·
Wait, is there an interesting answer to this? I'll label the four outcomes 1Y, 1N, 2Y, 2N. Let X = probability person cheated on spouse. If I flip heads first
by bernardom 13y ago
Wait, is there an interesting answer to this?
I'll label the four outcomes 1Y, 1N, 2Y, 2N.
Let X = probability person cheated on spouse.
If I flip heads first, I get yes or no equally.
So the first two outcomes are: 1Y(50%) or 1N (50%).
If I flip tails, I answer 2Y (X) or 2N (1-X).
So the distinct pdf is:
1Y (25%)
1N (25%)
2Y (0.5X)
2N (1-0.5X)
And combined, Y = 0.25+0.5X
What am I missing?
(Wait, oh, is this a stupid joke about whether they lied about cheating on their spouse? Dammit.)