"or that increased computer power will bring it forth (as if someone had already written an AGI program but it takes a year to utter each sentence)." No, 1000

"or that increased computer power will bring it forth (as if someone had already written an AGI program but it takes a year to utter each sentence)." No, 1000 years would be more like it, if you add in the years it takes to learn language. Here's my very quick and dirty calculation: A rough estimate of brain data throughput would be 100 billion neurons x 200 firings per second x 1,000 connections each = 20,000,000,000,000,000 bits of info transmitted per second. 20 million gigabits (20 petabits) of information move around your brain every second. The biggest/fastest numbers I can find for an IC is going to be about 3 billion transistors x 8Ghz x 3 (connections per transistor) = 6,480,000,000,000 = 6.5 Terabits per second. 20 petabits -vs- 6.5 Terabits, that's roughly 3 orders of magnitude difference. If someone wrote a true AGI today, it may well still take 1000 years to do what humans can learn and accomplish in one year (assuming moving bits of data is the key to AGI).