I actually suspect that the accountable game doesn't work. Have you ever heard of that guy? Nope. Will you ever hear of him again? Well only if he was right...

I actually suspect that the accountable game doesn't work. Have you ever heard of that guy? Nope. Will you ever hear of him again? Well only if he was right... The game works essentially like this. Create N identities for a topic, at each junction of the topic (substantial news, price developments, what have you) you'll have one of the identities make up a prediction that's exactly opposite of another identity. If an identity is now straying into the clearly "wrong" territory, discard it, continue with the identities which have turned out to incidentially make a right prediction. You continue this until you've weeded out all identities but one, which is now endowed with a streak of having made the right predictions. That's when you strike, now it's time to monetize on that belief that you're an expert in some or another fashion.