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Surprising that nobody here acknowledges the black swan nature of nuclear power. The comparative average is precisely not the point. FWIW I once had dinner wit
by dreamfactory 13y ago
Surprising that nobody here acknowledges the black swan nature of nuclear power. The comparative average is precisely not the point.
FWIW I once had dinner with an architect of one of the early nuclear plants. They had been lied to about the prospects of a solution to waste disposal and no longer considered it a sensible approach.
- saalweachter 13y agoCould you elaborate on your black swan comment?
- dreamfactory 13y agohttp://features.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2011/03/24/whats-next-for-nuclear-power-nassim-nicholas-taleb/ http://features.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2011/03/24/whats-next-...
- saalweachter 13y agoYeah, anytime someone says "once in a million years" and isn't an astronomer I would doubt those numbers. My money would be on "the number we need so people don't freak out". On the other hand, it's also easy to overstate the magnitude of a disaster. To the best of my knowledge, no one actually died of radiation exposure from the accident (and probably no one will at this point). There are expected to be a number of deaths (somewhere between 15 and 1100) from increased cancer rates in the larger population. I would hope these weren't included in the "one in a million" claim.