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The reactions always jerk too far to either side. Currency clearly derives it value from a variety of sources, all stemming from beliefs held by people. Bitcoi
by icegreentea 13y ago
The reactions always jerk too far to either side.
Currency clearly derives it value from a variety of sources, all stemming from beliefs held by people. Bitcoin as it stands right now derives the majority of its value from people holding that belief that its value will continue to rise - that is it is driven heavily by speculation.
Most countries will jealously guard their currencies in foreign exchange markets specifically to reduce the effect of speculation on the value of their currency because they want their currency not to act as a method for people to get rich, but to facilitate economic activity within their own country. You can obviously see why speculation driven volatility (or this freakish deflation that Bitcoin has right now) can be bad for actually using the currency as a medium of exchange. This is especially true since most services that accept Bitcoin right now still interface heavily with other currency to deal with their suppliers and such.
It's obviously knee-jerk to say that Bitcoin has no intrinsic value. Currencies do not require intrinsic value beyond people being fairly certain that other people will accept the currency as payment. This is why American dollars, gold, copper, bullets, alcohol, and seashells can all be used as effective currency given the right situation.
The flip side is that it should also be obvious that the current value of Bitcoin is pretty much divorced from its value as a medium of exchange as its clearly fueled by speculation right now. When people stop believing that they can buy 1 BTC now and sell a few days later for 20% increase of US dollars, and start believing that they can buy 1 BTC now and that they can hang on to it for a few days or a few years and that it'll be roughly equally useful over that time-frame, that will be when the "value" of Bitcoin is set.
- tptacek 13y agoI didn't see him dismiss Bitcoin's utility as a currency (though for what it's worth, I don't see that either). I saw him refer to its current valuation as a bubble.
- TheRubyist 13y agoIn the long term, can bitcoin be able to survive if it doesn't have property of having anti-speculation system in it's design ?
- deftnerd 13y agoThe belief that the value will rise is only a minor part of my interest and investment in Bitcoin. My primary reason is a belief in the increase of its abilities and usefulness. Having programmable money opens a whole bunch of possible opportunities that haven't even been conceived yet. At the very least, it offers opportunities to disrupt the business practices of a lot of notaries, title companies, gambling operators, wire transfer companies, transparent systems for non-profit finances, etc. The concept of an open distributed ledger that doesn't require you to trust the parties you are dealing with is exciting. Simply put, I think its the future of monetary transfer. Perhaps not a good system to replace daily transactions, but certainly a good system for bulk transactions and to build a whole new generation of finance.