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Ah interesting, I have never heard about this game specifically. It seems though he gave up some amount of EV by giving up the 2 points to the Broncos, thus a
by swang 13y ago
Ah interesting, I have never heard about this game specifically.
It seems though he gave up some amount of EV by giving up the 2 points to the Broncos, thus a FG later on would only tie the game instead of winning it. But I assumed this was offset by the risk of having to punt and the Broncos end up getting a FG where then they'd be up by 4 points.
I don't know if Belichick was right to do this, but it paid off for him which is why everyone pats him on the back.
Contrast this with the 2009 Colts/Pats game where he went for it on 4th and 2 on his own 28 and didn't make it.
- twoodfin 13y agoExactly. Punt from the 1 and the Broncos will have the opportunity to burn clock and still likely kick a field goal, forcing you into a touchdown-required situation. As it was, the free kick netted even more yards than expected. Going for it on 4th and 2 in the '09 game was the right decision, and few knowledgeable commentators disparaged Belichick for it. Manning was dissecting the Pats defense at that point in the game: He had a much greater chance of scoring a touchdown than the Colts defense had of stopping the conversion. Now the playcall...