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Yet another failure to understand the purpose of mining. The energy is NOT being wasted. In fact, the energy spent mining is the exact thing that makes the Bitc
by humbledrone 13y ago
Yet another failure to understand the purpose of mining. The energy is NOT being wasted. In fact, the energy spent mining is the exact thing that makes the Bitcoin network function. The energy is being converted into trust. The more energy that is spent on mining, the more difficult it will be for a well-capitalized entity to perform an attack on the network.
Aaron Greenspan, repeat after me: Mining energy is not wasted. Mining energy is not wasted. Mining energy is not wasted.
Now, it is an open question as to whether the cost of running the Bitcoin network is worthwhile. However, for the moment, it clearly is. The fact that some miners can turn even a small profit on the Bitcoins they're rewarded with demonstrates that the utility they provide has positive market value.
Of course at some point it may be that it costs substantially more to mine new Bitcoins than they are worth on the market. If this happens soon, Bitcoin will likely fail. If it happens later, it's possible that transaction fees could prop up the network, but that's purely speculative.
Another thing to consider when assessing the energy efficiency of the Bitcoin network is how it compares to the efficiency of existing currencies. Cash has a physical component and must be manufactured. Electronic fiat is backed by huge, complex, and expensive networks. Visa's datacenters are not free. Keep in mind that credit card transactions typically have a transaction cost of 3%, which in some way represents the cost of operating the Visa network. 3% is kind of a staggeringly huge number, and off the cuff I expect that's actually quite a bit higher than the total Bitcoin network cost to volume ratio...
- cma 13y agoThis isn't a judgment on bitcoin, but on your logic: The fact that some farmers can turn even a small profit on the tulips they're rewarded with demonstrates that the utility they provide has positive market value.
- humbledrone 13y agoWell, what other measure would you use? The markets did, rather quickly, correct themselves with regards to tulips. There was a brief window of mania, but for the last several hundred years the tulip market seems to have been pretty reasonable. It's just not possible at this time to know whether Bitcoin provides enough value to succeed in the long term. But to survive in the long term, it has to survive in the short term, and our best measure of short term utility is the market. Again, if the market crashed far below the mining costs, then I would view that as a demonstration of the lack of Bitcoin's utility. And that very well could happen! But it hasn't yet.
- skylan_q 13y agoWell, what other measure would you use? There is no other way to calculate whether something is done at an economic loss or profit than by the loss/profit mechanism of the economy. Again, if the market crashed far below the mining costs, then I would view that as a demonstration of the lack of Bitcoin's utility. Keywords being "far below". In cases where gold was the unit of money, there would be times where mining gold was economically unprofitable. As a result, more goods started chasing a fixed supply of money, bringing up the price of money making it more profitable to mine gold.
- LekkoscPiwa 13y agoFYI: price of gold currently is at its mining cost. And Greenspan would still call it a "bubble" When he is personally responsible for creating dot-com bubble and the housing bubble. Who would ever listen to this clown anyway?
- digitalzombie 13y ago>>The markets did, rather quickly, correct themselves with regards to tulips. Quickly is subjective... I don't believe several years, according to some historians, is "quickly" considering if you were affected by it. Also "seems to be pretty reasonable" means it's just your opinion. You're also very high strung and on the offensive for bitcoin. This is not how you would sell an idea and a huge warning sign of your view being very skewed and not objective when it comes to the matter of bitcoin.
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- pault 13y agoI don't want to discourage rational discourse about BTC and whether it has any inherent value, but I think tulips are the Godwin's law of bitcoin. As a debate about bitcoin increases in length, the chance of someone mentioning tulip bulbs approaches 1.
- mcgin 13y agoThere are energy efficient ways of securing a block chain. Proof of Stake does not rely on vast energy consumption and in fact is better at securing the network, something one of the newer currencies Peercoin takes advantage of.
- humbledrone 13y agoThanks for the Proof of Stake reference, I was not familiar with that system but am reading about it now and it's very interesting. This site [1] seems to indicate a rather unfavorable transaction cost for Bitcoins, around 7%. However, I'm not sure whether their estimation of 650 watts per gigahash* is accurate (that warrants some more research), so I don't know whether to trust that figure or not. If it is accurate, it is not favorable when compared to Visa. [1] https://blockchain.info/stats https://blockchain.info/stats * I assume they meant watts per gigahash/second. [EDIT] It seems like the recent ASIC miners on the market are vastly more efficient (>100x) than blockchain.info's estimates [2] (which probably include CPU/GPU miners since ASICs are relatively new). Without knowing the makeup of the Bitcoin network (i.e. what portion is CPU/GPU/ASIC etc), though, it seems like any efficiency estimate will be pretty inaccurate. [2] https://www.kncminer.com/categories/miners https://www.kncminer.com/categories/miners
- DennisP 13y agoProof of Burn is another interesting idea.
- idunno246 13y agoMy understanding is It's built in what happens when it's too expensive to mine by adding transaction fees. Or once there are no more coins to mine. The network still needs to verify, so the person in the transfer offers up coins to get it verified which go to the miners.
- humbledrone 13y agoIt is correct that after 21 million Bitcoins have been mined, other incentives will be required for mining to continue. Transaction fees are the likely choice. If Bitcoin became a major currency, I think there might be other incentives, too. To speculate: a large government might want to run mining operations to make it more difficult for other governments to collude against them in a 51% attack. Of course if they did this, they'd probably want to pick up transaction fees as well.
- waqasx 13y agobtc is much like gold, but most ppl here fail to realize that gold as a storage of value makes no logical sense except that a lot of ppl 'believe' in the value of gold. in that sense, gold is a bigger ponzi scheme than btc personally i believe eventually btc wil crash to smithereens and so will gold prices. but im talking long term, when currencies will be backed by actual work that provides social and economical value
- TylerE 13y agoNonsense. Gold has non-currency uses so it is, innately, NOT a "fiat" currency. It can be used to make objects of art, and it's essential in many manufacturing processes.
- waqasx 13y agoso is mud. we dont use it as currency. why? gold has value for us not cuz of its uses, but cuz it is scarce and it is shiny and its an easy metal to work with
- TylerE 13y agoPlease point me to the nearest store selling items costing in excess of a month's salary made with mud. Gold has unique chemical, mechanical, and electrical properties - it's not just any old commodity.
- waqasx 13y agoGold has unique properties like every element has. But gold jewellery costs a months salary cuz we believe it is valuable, it is purely psychological. Its cost has Nothing to do with its chemistry or value to society. Same goes for btc.
- TylerE 13y agoActually it does. One of those unique properties of gold is that it is incredibly non-reactive, which means it doesn't visible age, discolor, or tarnish. The value of that for jewelry should be self-evident. It's excellent ductility and malleability are valuable properties as well.
- 21echoes 13y ago> Yet another failure to understand the purpose of mining. The energy is NOT being wasted. In fact, the energy spent mining is the exact thing that makes the Bitcoin network function. The energy is being converted into trust. The more energy that is spent on mining, the more difficult it will be for a well-capitalized entity to perform an attack on the network. > Aaron Greenspan, repeat after me: Mining energy is not wasted. Mining energy is not wasted. Mining energy is not wasted. I think you're missing the point here: Aaron is not denying that markets run on trust, and trust takes work (in both the physical sciences sense and the layman sense) to maintain. What he is saying, as should be clear through his use of the water analogy, is that we should choose currencies for which it is easiest to convert work into trust and usage. Water is off the table, in his analogy, because of the large amount of work required to use it. In other words: he views BTC as another currency which, compared to systems like the USD/ACH/Credit system, is overly laborious to maintain. What's nice is that this is a reasonably scientific claim-- it is not out of the question that someone could compare measurements of the energy usages of the two currencies per unit of value and per transaction. To me, it seems clear that the USD, riding on the trust externalities from the already present authority of the US Gov't, is going to be cheaper. But again, it's a totally measurable assertion.