10 years seems to be the standard prediction timeframe. The cure for various diseases is always 10 years away, a replacement for oil is always 10 years away, e

10 years seems to be the standard prediction timeframe. The cure for various diseases is always 10 years away, a replacement for oil is always 10 years away, etc. 10 years seems like a long time, but its not. It's certainly not a long time in research fields. And it's usually not long enough to take a new idea to fruition.