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I agree with this analysis. One way to characterise the problem is as a lack of verifiability, which, interestingly, has been much touted recently as a problem
by mrow84 13y ago
I agree with this analysis. One way to characterise the problem is as a lack of verifiability, which, interestingly, has been much touted recently as a problem in science more generally.
I think that the verifiability problem in economics is, however, more pernicious than that for other sciences precisely because of the subject area which it addresses, namely the economy. The standard of evidence for the implementation of some economic policy is, quite generally speaking, vastly lower than for the application of other scientific advances, and the impacts of either can be large. This means that unverified or even unverifiable policies can quite easily be implemented in the real world, and then cause significant damage, as steauengeglase mentioned.
If we are incapable of verifying that a given policy might work, because the theory it is derived from is so incomplete as to ignore the things which might cause the policy to fail, then why should we consider that policy's adoption? It is surely far more sensible to generally apply well-tested ideas, and conduct small-scale policy trials to expand our knowledge.
The obvious problem with this latter approach is that the "well-tested ideas" are very often derived from distinctly inequitable modes of thinking. I would still contend that adopting and then adapting those ideas is preferable to applying radical ideas that ignore most of the system they purport to explain.