3 ms·

Are you claiming that most NFL teams gain 7+ yards on 40-50% of plays? That can't even be close to right.

• mehwoot 13y ago
  There are 18 Quarterbacks in the NFL with an average Yards per Attempt over 7 yards. So it could be in the ballpark, at least.
  • jcampbell1 13y ago
    Average isn't relevant in this case. What you want is percent of Attempts over 7 yards (which is more akin to median). Four zero yard plays + Four five yard plays + two 25 yard plays = 7 yards per attempt, but a 20% success rate.
    • mehwoot 13y ago
      Yeah, I know, but I don't have those stats available. Hence why I said it's in the ballpark.
    • eitally 13y ago
      Yes, but ... this discounts the practical consideration that the defense is going to change situationally, too. 4th and 2 is going to look a lot different than 4th and 17.