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Hehe, yeah, but I've just read so many stories gushing about all these totally crazy things which will happen in -- wait for it! (but not too long) -- THE FUTUR
by reidman 19y ago
Hehe, yeah, but I've just read so many stories gushing about all these totally crazy things which will happen in -- wait for it! (but not too long) -- THE FUTURE. And a lot of them have seemed practical/obvious/awesome, but in the end, they either never happened, or didn't come close to expectations. The problem is, obviously, that predicting the future is a fool's game, because your chances of getting anything right seem to decrease exponentially with the reach of your prediction.
The Segway for example -- remember that insane buildup in 2001? 'IT' was going to change the world -- a technological revolution, over a decade in the making by a mad scientist living on a secluded private island. Steve Jobs said it was going to be as big a deal as the personal computer, and one of the most-bandied-about bits of PR claimed that it would be the basis of future cities.
Not that Segways suck or failed miserably, but man, that was some weapons-grade hype.
Anyway, I'm not really that pessimistic about this, just trying to temper my enthusiasm. While waiting to see how the 3D printer market turns out, I guess I'll check up and see when my standard-issue flying car will arrive...
- Tichy 19y agoI think with the Segway it was a different story, though: it was not widely known what it would be, there were only a few sources spilling the hype as you described it. It was simply an issue of marketing. With 3d printers, everybody can form their own opinion.