> "Wars are becoming less frequent." > He wrote, as we approach the centenary of The War To End All Wars. The diminishing in size and frequency of armed confl

> "Wars are becoming less frequent." > He wrote, as we approach the centenary of The War To End All Wars. The diminishing in size and frequency of armed conflict is either evidence that we'll have less destruction due to war in the future, or more destruction due to war in the future. It's not clear to me what model predicts more war, when observing less war--can you explain under what circumstances your model would predict less war?