> I think a change in government in China to a post-communist system is moderately possible Transitions in other Asian countries from authoritarian (which is w

> I think a change in government in China to a post-communist system is moderately possible Transitions in other Asian countries from authoritarian (which is what China is right now) to democratic governments typically coincided with the populace reaching a certain level of wealth and education. I don't see that level being reached in China any time soon because the sort of accelerated export-oriented growth that worked in other Asian countries won't work when you have more than a billion people. China is still very far from the levels of wealth and prosperity in Korea or Taiwan when they transitioned to democracy.