Let's do a "back of the envelope" calculation: Between 2006 and 2010 there were on average 152,300 automobile fires per year [1] so a reasonable estimate for 2

Let's do a "back of the envelope" calculation: Between 2006 and 2010 there were on average 152,300 automobile fires per year [1] so a reasonable estimate for 2 months would be 25,383. There are approximately 19,000 Tesla Model S sedans on the road [2]. If we assume most of those vehicles are in the US, then the Tesla model S represents 0.007469% of the 254.4 million passenger vehicles in the US [3]. One would expect 1.8 Tesla Model S fires in a 2 month period if the chances of a fire are no different for the Model S than other vehicles. But, this calculation doesn't take into account several other mitigating factors, for example if fires are more common in older cars than new cars. [1] http://www.nfpa.org/safety-information/for-consumers/vehicles http://www.nfpa.org/safety-information/for-consumers/vehicle... [2] http://www.engadget.com/2013/11/05/tesla-q3-2013-earnings/ http://www.engadget.com/2013/11/05/tesla-q3-2013-earnings/ [3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Passenger_vehicles_in_the_United_States http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Passenger_vehicles_in_the_Unite...