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This seems like a Simon-Ehrlich wager case. We don't know of an immediate way to stop the crisis, but does that mean we really will run out of helium before som
by m_myers 13y ago
This seems like a Simon-Ehrlich wager case. We don't know of an immediate way to stop the crisis, but does that mean we really will run out of helium before someone discovers a better method of production?
I am not an economist and I'm not going to bet $10k on it or anything, but I think it's reasonable to expect something to change the situation.
- maaku 13y agoThere is no method of production. None, zero, zilch. Unless you mean, say, production of ionizing alpha radiation, capture and containment, in which case you're using up another scarce resource of radioactive source products, generating far more radioactive waste then existing dirty nuclear plants, all for an amount of helium that you need a laboratory to measure. Or maybe you mean by fusion? In which case you'd need a fusion reaction which yields stable helium isotopes which can be extracted without including radioactive byproducts. The difficulties here make interplanetary trade seem like nothing. Economics is not a magic bullet. You actually need viable choices first, which we don't have here.
- lotyrin 13y agoI suppose if we get better at fusion we could electrolyze the oceans and fuse the hydrogen into helium.