Yes, it's hard to predict and the odds change every day, which makes it quite different from SatoshiDice or any casino game where the odds and rewards are in fu

Yes, it's hard to predict and the odds change every day, which makes it quite different from SatoshiDice or any casino game where the odds and rewards are in full display. It's also hard to predict which company is going to be the next Google and not get killed from the outside by a patent troll or would-be competitors who use the government to hammer down any new competition or something else, but a lot of VCs still make money regardless. I certainly wouldn't suggest anyone put all their eggs into the bitcoin basket, but mine and others' best guesses on the odds indicate the risks don't outweigh the potential rewards.