3 ms·
That's pretty much what I was thinking, reading this. First off, a frequency measurement -- "once in a billion years", 3.16887646 × 10^-17 hertz (thank you, Goo
by iclelland 17y ago
That's pretty much what I was thinking, reading this. First off, a frequency measurement -- "once in a billion years", 3.16887646 × 10^-17 hertz (thank you, Google calculator) can't really be used as a probability, as they are trying to do.
Then, even if you assign that nonsense statement some sort of charitable reading, like "one bit has a 50% chance of spontaneously changing state over a one billion year period", and infer that every bit has a 1/10^9 chance of flipping every year, then the odds that 8×10^9 bits do not change at all over the course of a year are (1-10^-9)^(8×10^9), or about 0.034%.
Granted, it'll still take a long time for that whole gigabyte of data to be completely scrambled, but I think we'll still be using error correction and occasional refresh, even with a technology this reliable.
- 3pt14159 17y agoIf you do a Raid 6 Array and manage to keep power to the storage devices you could fix the lost bits whenever they came up. Or you could just write to 10 drives at once. The odds might be that the whole does not change 0.034% of the time for one drive, but for 10 it would be > 99%.